A thought on what happens to Offenses in Boulder: Fear the Stampede!
filed in Pre-game on Oct.29, 2007
So, the CU defense has played Oklahoma (24 points), Kansas (19 points), and Texas Tech (26 points). What do all three of these teams have in common? They are all ranked top 5 in the nation in scoring at 44.5, 42.9, and 42.5 points per game. CU has held these three teams to 20.5, 23.9, and 16.9 points below their scoring averages. On average, CU has held the top 5 scoring offenses it has faced to 20.4 points below their usual score. That number goes up when you count just the games at home.
Kansas State and Arizona State, by the way, are also ranked #12 and #17 in the nation in scoring. Despite the most anemic offensive performance possible and multiple turnovers, CU actually held ASU 3 points below their season average in 100 degree heat! Only KSU scored over their average against us, and that was a game where turnovers were just drastic.
For those keeping score, that is 5 top 17 teams played. All but 1 were held below their average. Both times the teams were CLOSE or above their average? Away. The environs of Folsom field are NOT gentle to opposing offenses. At the time of Kansas’s and Oklahoma’s visits, those teams were ranked #2 and #1 in the Nation in scoring. That was not true the Sunday after those games were played.
The obvious and most important question to this conversation is, where does Mizzou’s Scoring Offense Rank? Number Eight (8) in the nation at 40.4 points/game. The team they most resemble is KU. Many people have noted that KU did have some long scoring drives against CU and that Reesing really hurt us. That is true, the guy played out of his mind, a near perfect performance. Kansas still scored 30 points below their average at the time. The lesson? Mizzou better not bring anything but their absolute best against this Defense. Look at what happened to Graham Harrell in HIS house when he failed to do that.
The pretty amazing thing about this is that if Cody could have kept ahold of the ball a bit more early in the season, CU’s Defense could be on a near historic run. Dizon for Butkus!
There is no Guarantee against Mizzou coming in and lighting the Buffs up, but people have been saying that Mizzou is going to march into Boulder and hang 40 on us. The odds and the stats do not favor that scenario.
What does this point to? Cody needs to be Texas Tech Cody, not KSU Cody. Unless our Defense cracks, and cracks big, we hopefully will not need Oklahoma and CSU (4th Quarter anyways) Cody. This defense bends, and rarely breaks unless a short field is given to the opposing offense. I look forward to Mizzou facing a running game light years better then Iowa States. If a true freshman at ISU can hang 150 on Mizzou, imagine what HUGE Charles can do!
Oh ya, Mizzou lost their best Defensive player last week to injury. Sad, but fortunate for us!
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- In Between A Boulder And A Hard Place
October 29th, 2007 on 10:38 pm
In conference the numbers would be…
Held OU -3.5, KU -12.5 and Tech -5.6 off their conference averages. http://www.big12sports.com/sports/m-footbl/stats/2007-2008/confonly.html
Where does Missouri rank (in conference) #3, ahead of Tech, Kansas and Oklahoma.
October 30th, 2007 on 3:22 pm
Sample Size Sample Size Sample size… Each of those teams you mention has only played 4 games, and one of those was against CU. That is a very big deal. The one team that did well (KSU), is #1 in your info. And what about ASU?
October 30th, 2007 on 3:47 pm
If you throw in the weak non conference schedules by some of these teams it skews the stats as well.
October 30th, 2007 on 6:00 pm
Miami is not what it used to be, but OU hangin 50 points on um is definitely not something to piffle away…
October 31st, 2007 on 7:17 am
True, but 79 and 62 against North Texas and Tulsa certainly don’t hurt.
October 31st, 2007 on 11:11 am
Pass Rush. If the Buffs can force him to throw off balance, not head up field by containing him, the defense could have a shot. The Offense needs to convert and keep up with the Mizzou offense.
Lets face it though, Chase Daniel is much better than Cody, and in a game like this, it could mean everything. REMEMBER THE IDES OF NOV.7TH, 2005. The Buffs blew out Mizzou 42-12 (Yes, sports fans I was there), then fell apart down the stretch. We were 7-2 and heading to 9-2 and a showdown with Texas in the Big 12 Championship. WE ARE STILL RECOVERING FROM THAT LATE SEASON COLLAPSE.
November 2nd, 2007 on 11:06 pm
Our average 40 points a game is no fluke. In fact it is fun. We lost our best running back and still score at will. Our backups have put up big numbers. It will be a cold day in Colorado!!!! Mizzou 41-28.
November 3rd, 2007 on 12:55 am
Lets see… 40 points a game…. How many did you score against OU again?
November 4th, 2007 on 3:04 pm
No let’s see 55 SKYE!!!! Was not even a game. Spotted you 7 points on a tip and you got 3 on a block. 3 and out was this story for you losers. Chase said you play man to man and loved that and he ripped your CB’s!!!!
SKYE you started this thread and we throttled the worst team we played all year. Geez even Western Michigan scored 24 and that was with Pigg in the lineup. Oh and Dizon got dazed big time!
1st downs 25-7
yards 598-196 YES 598 against your great defense!
THE ONLY STAMPEDE WERE BUFFS FANS LEAVING AT HALF.
REMEBER THE 5TH DOWN?